In late January, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that the state’s Republican-drawn congressional district map violated the state constitution’s guarantee of free and equal elections. That map, which was brutally gerrymandered, consistently sent a congressional delegation of 13 Republicans and 5 Democrats to Washington despite Pennsylvania generally being a fairly evenly divided state politically. The … More My Proposal for how Pennsylvania should Redraw its Congressional Districts
Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District will host a special election on March 13, 2018 after its previous incumbent, Republican Tim Murphy, resigned due to a sex scandal. The candidates in this special election are Republican Rick Saccone, a state representative, and Democrat Conor Lamb, a former Assistant U.S. Attorney. A Libertarian candidate is also in the … More Analysis of PA-18: Does Conor Lamb have a path to victory in the special election?
On November 7, 2017, New Jersey held a general election to elect its Governor and state legislature. The gubernatorial election was an open seat, as Republican incumbent Chris Christie was term-limited. The state legislature was controlled by Democrats before the election, with Democrats holding a 24-16 majority in the State Senate and a 52-28 majority … More The Definitive Guide to the Results of New Jersey’s 2017 Gubernatorial and State Legislative Elections, illustrated with maps!
This is an overview of the 2016 state senate elections in Maine. In this diary, I will go through every race, discussing the candidates and the outlook of each race. A small note of warning: Independent candidates have not yet filed for these elections, and if they do they could have a significant impact on … More Analysis of 2016 State Senate Elections in Maine
To follow up on the maps that I made of the 2012 elections in Pennsylvania, I have made a series of similar maps – but this time for the 2014 elections. As with the 2012 maps, to see a larger version of any of these maps, just open the map in a new tab and change … More Another Set of Really Cool Pennsylvania Precinct Maps, this time of 2014
There are some states for which mapping their election results by county just doesn’t cut it, due to the fact that their election results vary widely inside the county. To tell the whole story, you’ve got to look at the municipality-level results, or even the precinct-level results. Pennsylvania is one of those states. The political … More Some really cool maps of the 2012 Congressional and State Legislative Elections in Pennsylvania
In 2015, all 80 of New Jersey’s State Assembly seats were up for election. Coming into the election, 48 of those seats were held by Democrats and 32 by Republicans. New Jersey’s Assembly elections are held in 40 different districts, each of which elects two Assemblymembers. These elections were broadly predicted to have low turnout … More Maps and Analysis of New Jersey’s 2015 State Assembly Elections
To go along with my maps and analysis of New Jersey’s 2015 State Assembly elections, I’ve created a bunch of cool graphs in R that further illustrate some of the patterns and trends that I discussed previously. This first graph compares the Democrats’ performance in the 2015 state Assembly races to Obama’s performance in 2012. … More More Analysis of the New Jersey 2015 State Assembly Elections, with Graphs made in R
MS’s 2015 elections were mostly good for Republicans. But in one set of races, Democrats actually did better. … More The One Aspect of Mississippi’s 2015 Elections that Wasn’t a Republican Landslide
[Updated February 2019] The politics and political geography of New Hampshire have always fascinated me, since New Hampshire is not just the only swing state in New England, but it also home to the first-in-the-nation presidential primary every four years. This gives New Hampshire a level of nationwide importance mostly unmatched by other similarly-sized states. … More New Hampshire Maps