Maine 2018 Primary Analysis and Maps: Are there signs of the “Blue Wave” coming to Maine?

On June 12, 2018, Maine held primary elections to determine the Democratic and Republican nominees for Governor, the Democratic nominee for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, and nominees for several state legislative districts. These were the first elections to be held under ranked-choice voting (RCV) since it had been approved in a referendum in 2016 (more … More Maine 2018 Primary Analysis and Maps: Are there signs of the “Blue Wave” coming to Maine?

About Me

Hello! I’m Gregory Naigles, and welcome to my website. I am a geography whiz, political data expert, and mapping guru who has collected, analyzed, and mapped election results from all fifty states for over seven years. In this website are examples of my work, some of which has been published in peer-reviewed journals. My education … More About Me

My Proposal for how Pennsylvania should Redraw its Congressional Districts

In late January, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that the state’s Republican-drawn congressional district map violated the state constitution’s guarantee of free and equal elections. That map, which was brutally gerrymandered, consistently sent a congressional delegation of 13 Republicans and 5 Democrats to Washington despite Pennsylvania generally being a fairly evenly divided state politically. The … More My Proposal for how Pennsylvania should Redraw its Congressional Districts

Analysis of PA-18: Does Conor Lamb have a path to victory in the special election?

Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District will host a special election on March 13, 2018 after its previous incumbent, Republican Tim Murphy, resigned due to a sex scandal. The candidates in this special election are Republican Rick Saccone, a state representative, and Democrat Conor Lamb, a former Assistant U.S. Attorney. A Libertarian candidate is also in the … More Analysis of PA-18: Does Conor Lamb have a path to victory in the special election?

Analysis of the Results of the 2017 U.S. Senate Special Election in Jefferson County, Alabama, and the Three Types of Precincts There

The 2017 U.S. Senate special election in Alabama was a political earthquake in more ways than one. Not only did a Democrat win a statewide election in Alabama for the first time since 2008, and a U.S. Senate election for the first time since 1992, but Democrat Doug Jones’ victory in Alabama used a coalition … More Analysis of the Results of the 2017 U.S. Senate Special Election in Jefferson County, Alabama, and the Three Types of Precincts There

The Definitive Guide to the Results of New Jersey’s 2017 Gubernatorial and State Legislative Elections, illustrated with maps!

On November 7, 2017, New Jersey held a general election to elect its Governor and state legislature. The gubernatorial election was an open seat, as Republican incumbent Chris Christie was term-limited. The state legislature was controlled by Democrats before the election, with Democrats holding a 24-16 majority in the State Senate and a 52-28 majority … More The Definitive Guide to the Results of New Jersey’s 2017 Gubernatorial and State Legislative Elections, illustrated with maps!

How Has New Hampshire’s Political Geography Shifted Since 2000?

New Hampshire used to be a heavily Republican state. For over a century, Republicans were clearly the majority party in New Hampshire, and Democratic wins, though they happened occasionally, were clearly the exception to the rule. During that time, New Hampshire produced such notable Republicans as Styles Bridges, Norris Cotton, Warren Rudman, and the (still … More How Has New Hampshire’s Political Geography Shifted Since 2000?

What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 5 – New Jersey Presidential Election and Demographic Analysis

New Jersey has a reputation (Chris Christie aside) for being a solidly Democratic state, and thus it was widely expected to vote for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. Many people even expected Hillary to improve on Obama’s 2008 and 2012 performances, due to New Jersey’s large concentration of college-educated white voters, a demographic … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 5 – New Jersey Presidential Election and Demographic Analysis

What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 4 – Massachusetts Presidential Election and Marijuana Referendum

Massachusetts is well known as one of the most Democratic states in the country. There was no doubt that it would vote for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election – the only question was by what margin. The Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in Massachusetts had not changed a lot in the previous three … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 4 – Massachusetts Presidential Election and Marijuana Referendum

What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 3 – Maine Presidential Election and Ballot Referendums

Maine was a bit off the radar in the run-up to the 2016 elections – despite it being one of only two states that split their electoral votes by congressional district, and despite polls showing that the previously Democratic 2nd District could go to Trump, it was mostly ignored by political analysts in favor of … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 3 – Maine Presidential Election and Ballot Referendums