How Has New Hampshire’s Political Geography Shifted Since 2000?

New Hampshire used to be a heavily Republican state. For over a century, Republicans were clearly the majority party in New Hampshire, and Democratic wins, though they happened occasionally, were clearly the exception to the rule. During that time, New Hampshire produced such notable Republicans as Styles Bridges, Norris Cotton, Warren Rudman, and the (still … More How Has New Hampshire’s Political Geography Shifted Since 2000?

What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 1 – New Hampshire statewide elections

New Hampshire is known for its close elections, and in that respect, the 2016 elections certainly did not disappoint. Though Barack Obama won New Hampshire by a solid 6 percent margin in 2012, Hillary Clinton won New Hampshire by a margin of only 0.3 percent. Thus, New Hampshire was the closest state in the 2016 … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 1 – New Hampshire statewide elections

Maps and Analysis of the 2016 Democratic and Republican gubernatorial primaries in New Hampshire, and Implications for the General Election

On September 13, 2016, voters in New Hampshire went to the polls to select the Democratic and Republican Party’s gubernatorial nominees. While Democrats have held the Governorship of New Hampshire for all but two of the past twenty years, the 2016 race was widely considered to be a toss-up even before the nominees had been … More Maps and Analysis of the 2016 Democratic and Republican gubernatorial primaries in New Hampshire, and Implications for the General Election

Maps and Analysis of the 2016 New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary

New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary took place on February 9, 2016. On the Republican side, there were eight major candidates remaining in the race: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump. In the run-up to the election, polls consistently showed Trump in the mid-30s, with … More Maps and Analysis of the 2016 New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary

Maps and Analysis of the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary

New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary took place on February 9, 2016. On the Democratic side, there were only two major candidates still in the race: former First Lady, U.S. Senator, and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and U.S. Senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders. In the run-up to the election, polls consistently showed Sanders ahead of … More Maps and Analysis of the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary

New Hampshire Maps

The politics and political geography of New Hampshire have always fascinated me, since New Hampshire is not just the only swing state in New England, but it also home to the first-in-the-nation presidential primary every four years. This gives New Hampshire a level of nationwide importance mostly unmatched by other similarly-sized states. Thus, it should … More New Hampshire Maps

Benchmarks for Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders for the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Primary

The 2016 Democratic presidential primary has settled into a two-way race between former First Lady, U.S. Senator, and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders. The first state to hold its primary will be, as usual, New Hampshire, where polls have shown a close race between the two. Hillary’s advantage is that … More Benchmarks for Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders for the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Maps and Analysis of the 2014 Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections in New Hampshire

Despite the Republican wave, both Governor Maggie Hassan and U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen won narrow re-elections in 2014 in New Hampshire. Both of their 2014 wins were slightly narrower than their previous elections; Shaheen won by 3 percentage points in 2014 while she had won by 7 in 2008, and Hassan won by 5 percentage … More Maps and Analysis of the 2014 Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections in New Hampshire

Analysis and Maps of 2014 State Senate and Executive Council elections in New Hampshire, and Comparisons to 2012 Elections

The 24-member New Hampshire State Senate and 5-member Executive Council are both up for re-election every two years. Despite the fact that the districts for both were drawn by Republicans, both were hotly contested in 2014.  Coming into 2014, the Republicans controlled the State Senate by a slim 13-11 margin, while the Democrats had a … More Analysis and Maps of 2014 State Senate and Executive Council elections in New Hampshire, and Comparisons to 2012 Elections