On November 7, 2017, New Jersey held a general election to elect its Governor and state legislature. The gubernatorial election was an open seat, as Republican incumbent Chris Christie was term-limited. The state legislature was controlled by Democrats before the election, with Democrats holding a 24-16 majority in the State Senate and a 52-28 majority … More The Definitive Guide to the Results of New Jersey’s 2017 Gubernatorial and State Legislative Elections, illustrated with maps!
New Jersey has a reputation (Chris Christie aside) for being a solidly Democratic state, and thus it was widely expected to vote for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. Many people even expected Hillary to improve on Obama’s 2008 and 2012 performances, due to New Jersey’s large concentration of college-educated white voters, a demographic … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 5 – New Jersey Presidential Election and Demographic Analysis
On June 7, 2016, the final group of states held their presidential primaries for the 2016 election cycle. While the media coverage of the primaries that day focused almost entirely on California, perhaps the more revealing primary, in terms of using the results to draw conclusions about the political demographics of the state and how … More Analysis and Maps of the 2016 New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary
In 2015, all 80 of New Jersey’s State Assembly seats were up for election. Coming into the election, 48 of those seats were held by Democrats and 32 by Republicans. New Jersey’s Assembly elections are held in 40 different districts, each of which elects two Assemblymembers. These elections were broadly predicted to have low turnout … More Maps and Analysis of New Jersey’s 2015 State Assembly Elections
To go along with my maps and analysis of New Jersey’s 2015 State Assembly elections, I’ve created a bunch of cool graphs in R that further illustrate some of the patterns and trends that I discussed previously. This first graph compares the Democrats’ performance in the 2015 state Assembly races to Obama’s performance in 2012. … More More Analysis of the New Jersey 2015 State Assembly Elections, with Graphs made in R
In the 2014 elections, as Democrats got thrashed in most places across the country, one bright spot for them came out of Bergen County, New Jersey: the incumbent County Executive, Republican Kathleen Donovan, was defeated by a 54-46 margin by Democrat James J. Tedesco III, a Bergen County Freeholder (member of the County Council) and … More How did Jim Tedesco beat Kathleen Donovan in Bergen County, New Jersey last year?
I have made several maps of New York, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania. The system of municipal organization that these states use makes analysis of their election results particularly revealing. A couple examples are below (click on the maps to enlarge). I have also made maps of New York showing: 2008 and 2012 Presidential results … More NY/NJ/PA Maps
In 2014, Cory Booker won re-election to his first full term in his New Jersey Senate seat by a 56-42 margin, defeating Republican Jeff Bell. Just slightly over a year earlier, he had won an October 2013 special election to finish the term of the late Frank Lautenberg by a 55-44 margin over Republican Steve … More Maps and Analysis of Cory Booker’s 2014 Re-election in New Jersey, and Comparisons to Previous Elections