On November 16, 2019, Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards (D) was re-elected by a roughly 3-point margin, defeating businessman Eddie Rispone (R). Edwards had won his first term in 2015 by defeating scandal-plagued U.S. Senator David Vitter (R), and, going up against a scandal-free challenger in a state that Donald Trump won by 20 percent, … More Analyzing Louisiana’s 2019 Gubernatorial Election from its State Legislative District Results, With a Special Analysis of Jefferson Parish
Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota and Democratic candidate for President of the United States, has made her perceived “electability” as part of her argument for why she should become the Democratic nominee for the latter office, attempting to appeal to Democrats who consider defeating Donald Trump to be the most important aspect of the … More How “Electable” is Amy Klobuchar, anyway?
Due to an extremely busy summer, I haven’t been able to write any articles for a while. But I’ve still been making maps, so I wanted to give a rundown of the maps that I’ve made during the summer and early fall. Connecticut Connecticut’s primary was August 14. The important nominations that were decided were … More Miscellaneous Maps from Summer and Early Fall 2018
On June 12, 2018, Maine held primary elections to determine the Democratic and Republican nominees for Governor, the Democratic nominee for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, and nominees for several state legislative districts. These were the first elections to be held under ranked-choice voting (RCV) since it had been approved in a referendum in 2016 (more … More Maine 2018 Primary Analysis and Maps: Are there signs of the “Blue Wave” coming to Maine?
On March 13, 2018, Democrat Conor Lamb won the special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional district by a slim margin of just over 600 votes. This was a significant upset, considering that the previous incumbent, Republican Tim Murphy, hadn’t been seriously challenged for over a decade, and that the district voted for Donald Trump by … More How did Conor Lamb win PA-18?
In late January, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that the state’s Republican-drawn congressional district map violated the state constitution’s guarantee of free and equal elections. That map, which was brutally gerrymandered, consistently sent a congressional delegation of 13 Republicans and 5 Democrats to Washington despite Pennsylvania generally being a fairly evenly divided state politically. The … More My Proposal for how Pennsylvania should Redraw its Congressional Districts
Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District will host a special election on March 13, 2018 after its previous incumbent, Republican Tim Murphy, resigned due to a sex scandal. The candidates in this special election are Republican Rick Saccone, a state representative, and Democrat Conor Lamb, a former Assistant U.S. Attorney. A Libertarian candidate is also in the … More Analysis of PA-18: Does Conor Lamb have a path to victory in the special election?
The 2017 U.S. Senate special election in Alabama was a political earthquake in more ways than one. Not only did a Democrat win a statewide election in Alabama for the first time since 2008, and a U.S. Senate election for the first time since 1992, but Democrat Doug Jones’ victory in Alabama used a coalition … More Analysis of the Results of the 2017 U.S. Senate Special Election in Jefferson County, Alabama, and the Three Types of Precincts There
On November 7, 2017, New Jersey held a general election to elect its Governor and state legislature. The gubernatorial election was an open seat, as Republican incumbent Chris Christie was term-limited. The state legislature was controlled by Democrats before the election, with Democrats holding a 24-16 majority in the State Senate and a 52-28 majority … More The Definitive Guide to the Results of New Jersey’s 2017 Gubernatorial and State Legislative Elections, illustrated with maps!
New Hampshire used to be a heavily Republican state. For over a century, Republicans were clearly the majority party in New Hampshire, and Democratic wins, though they happened occasionally, were clearly the exception to the rule. During that time, New Hampshire produced such notable Republicans as Styles Bridges, Norris Cotton, Warren Rudman, and the (still … More How Has New Hampshire’s Political Geography Shifted Since 2000?